“Federal Liberal Lead Remains Stable as Canadians Settle Into a Holding Pattern”
The Numbers
Abacus tracking poll of 5 July 2026:
Canada:
LPC
44CPC
36NDP
8BQ
7GPC
2PPC
2OTH
0
Quebec:
LPC
45BQ
31CPC
19NDP
3GPC
1PPC
1OTH
0
Quick Take
- Not much change from the last poll.
- Canadians are evenly split on whether Canada is headed in the right direction or the wrong one: 42% vs. 44%
- Far more Canadians thing the USA and the world are headed in the wrong direction: 13% vs. 78% and 14% vs. 73%, respectively.
- The top concern is “The rising cost of living” at 69%, with “The economy” (37%), “Housing affordability and accessibility” (33%), “Healthcare” (31%), and “Donald Trump and his administration” (29%) rounding out the top 5.
- Support for the NDP remains low in Quebec at 3%, and highest in BC and Alberta with 12% and 11%, respectively.
Quotable
After our previous survey suggested that the surge in optimism and Liberal momentum that materialized in the spring, this latest wave indicates Canadians have largely settled into a stable political environment. Virtually every major indicator is either unchanged or has shifted only marginally.
